Sunday Business Post
By Paul T Colgan
25 September 2005
The British and Irish governments could be forgiven for thinking that just as they solve one apparently intractable aspect of the peace process another comes along. With IRA disarmament now almost complete after nearly three weeks of secretive work involving the head of the decommissioning body, General John De Chastelain, and his two colleagues, the governments are laying the ground work for some significant political movement.
Taoiseach Bertie Ahern, along with Justice Minister Michael McDowell and Foreign Affairs Minister Dermot Ahern, met a Sinn Féin delegation in government buildings on Friday, leading to increased expectations that a statement from De Chastelain may be forthcoming later this week.
The British government has meanwhile been keeping a close eye on events and is in regular contact with the Sinn Féin leadership.
Both governments are keen to use De Chastelain’s statement as a launching pad for renewed negotiations between Sinn Féin and the DUP.
They are faced with a serious roadblock however; unionists still appear unprepared to deal with republicans. Instead of welcoming the IRA’s decision to formally end armed struggle and dump arms, the unionist political establishment, led by Ian Paisley, has consistently sought to play down the importance of the move and dress it up as yet another act of grand deception.
Unionists have been told that the IRA is attempting to hoodwink them. Republicans, said Paisley, have refused to countenance the presence of a DUP-endorsed clergyman at its acts of decommissioning so that they can pull the wool over the eyes of the unionist people.
Against this backdrop, loyalists have insisted that they are being “left behind’‘ by the political process and that they will not be cowed into a United Ireland. With both main loyalist paramilitary groups - the Ulster Volunteer Force (UVF) and the Ulster Defence Association (UDA) - still fully armed and seemingly willing to bring their muscle onto the streets at times of tension, Paisley’s fiery language is proving unsettling for nationalists.
The Ballymena man maintains that the governments have conspired with the IRA to dupe unionists into believing the republican movement is now committed to exclusively political methods.
The reality, according to the DUP, is that the IRA will remain armed and ready to re-engage in violence if it sees fit.
Ahern and Tony Blair will have their work cut out in attempting to convince Paisley of the merits of the IRA initiative. Blair’s credibility amongst unionists is shot whilst Ahern, as all previous taoisigh have discovered, carries absolutely no clout in the loyalist heartlands.
Despite all this, loyalists still maintain there is much the two men can do to properly sell IRA decommissioning. According to David Ervine, leader of the Progressive Unionist Party (PUP), which has links with the UVF, the event needs to be “managed’‘ by the governments. “It needs to be managed properly by the two governments if it is to go down well amongst loyalists,” said Ervine.
“The average grass-roots loyalist will be asking himself just what the IRA is getting for itself out of all of this. The issue here is whether IRA decommissioning is irrefutable.
“If it is irrefutable, then there may be a possibility of movement. I’ve never gone in for photographs but the governments need to show that it has definitely happened.”
Ervine would not be drawn on whether he believed the UVF would choose to abandon its weapons. The organisation, which was involved in a bloody feud that left five men dead over the summer months and the fierce rioting of two weekends ago, was the subject of a report by the International Monitoring Commission (IMC) last week.
Its findings confirmed what most people in the North had already known - that loyalists remain heavily armed and engaged in violence. The UVF’s ceasefire was recently declared bogus by the Northern secretary Peter Hain.
Loyalist sources quoted in The Sunday Business Post last week, said that while the UVF might at some time wind down its activities, it would never give up its guns.
Meanwhile, the DUP has ruled out any political movement until well into next year. DUP negotiator, Jeffrey Donaldson, told this newspaper that he feared De Chastelain’s announcement on IRA decommissioning might leave the political process “stuck in the mud’‘.
“Because the IRA have not agreed to publish photographs and there hasn’t been agreement on the role of the independent witnesses, or indeed even who those witnesses should be, it makes it more difficult for unionists to give credence to any supposed act of decommissioning,” said Donaldson.
“If the IRA had any sense they would provide the detail needed to give confidence in the process. You have to ask what’s the point in doing it if no-one believes it has happened. If we don’t get clarity it will further delay the prospects of restoring the political institutions.”
The Lagan Valley MP said the DUP would be putting little stock in next month’s scheduled report from the IMC on IRA activity.
He said the party would examine the IMC’s second report in January but it would require “much longer than that’‘ to establish whether IRA activity had come to a conclusive end.
The DUP’s relationship with government buildings is also on rocky ground with little sign that it is prepared to let go of the Colombia Three issue. Donaldson said unless Ahern returns the three men to Colombia, things could turn particularly sour between the government and the DUP.
The MP was in Colombia recently on a fact-finding mission and will be hosting its vice president Francisco Santos when he visits the North early next month.
Donaldson refused to completely draw the curtains on the political process instead hinting that there may be a time in the future when the DUP will cut a deal with Sinn Féin. The recent comments of his party boss have suggested however that such a prospect is slim.
Paisley, at the height of the loyalist rioting two weeks ago, issued a broadside against republicans putting particular emphasis on Gerry Adams.
“Of course the great ingredient in Adams’ so-called tongue is lying and atrocious deliberate and hellish deeds,” said Paisley. “No words of mine would be strong enough to denounce his ways. The blood of the innocent cry out against him.
“Those who seek to follow his behaviour are only revealing the blackness of their own heart. They would seek to be part of the same den of wickedness.”
Just how Paisley brings himself to share power with a man capable of “hellish deeds’‘ is anyone’s guess - not least those of Blair and Ahern.