Belfast Telegraph
By Brian Rowan
24 April 2006
In the background of the latest infighting within the UDA, Johnny Adair has once more raised his head and his voice.
The exiled loyalist is clearly enjoying the mess the terror group currently finds itself in, and he is talking of returning to Northern Ireland.
It may be nothing more than talk.
The last time he was here, he had to run for his life, and there is nothing to suggest that the next time - if there is a next time - would be any different.
Within the UDA there are still those who want to see Adair dead, who “will not settle until he’s six foot under”, to quote one source.
Adair would be foolish to believe that as the UDA wrestles with the Shoukri problem, that his past has been forgotten.
It has not.
Indeed, he is blamed for helping to elevate the Shoukri brothers into leadership positions within the UDA - the very positions that others are now trying to remove them from.
As that manoeuvring continues inside the UDA, a clearer picture of the internal wrangling is now emerging - a picture which shows that the Shoukris are becoming increasingly isolated.
Andre Shoukri - currently on remand - held the title “brigadier” within the UDA and sat on the so-called Inner Council.
Ihab Shoukri - currently on bail - replaced his brother as UDA leader in north Belfast. He took over as brigadier and took his seat - one of six - at the paramilitary top table.
But four of those who sit at that table - Jackie McDonald (south Belfast), Matt Kincaid (west Belfast), Billy McFarland (north Antrim/Londonderry) and the organisation’s leader in east Belfast - no longer want to share it with a Shoukri, and will no longer meet as an Inner Council in the company of the brothers.
What is less certain is the position of the UDA in south-east Antrim.
It is not yet clear whether its brigadier will side with the Shoukris or with the rest of the paramilitary leadership.
The brigadier and Tommy Kirkham, a senior figure in the closely associated Ulster Political Research Group, will be the key voices in determining the direction taken by the UDA in this area.
“The south-east Antrim situation is not resolved,” a senior paramilitary source said.
“We are trying to give everybody a chance to make up their own minds. If you try to go too quick you could wreck the thing.”
So the UDA leadership is not going to push this situation to a conclusion just yet.
Its preference would be to have the organisation in south-east Antrim onboard, to have Shoukri outnumbered five to one at the level of the Inner Council, and then for the membership in north Belfast to remove its current leadership.
The Inner Council will support it in that position.
“People are going to have to help them - people outside the organisation and people inside the organisation,” a senior paramilitary source told the Belfast Telegraph.
“With the exception of a few individuals in north Belfast, the door has been closed to nobody. It’s the same situation we have been in before. Individuals in other areas were replaced. It can be done,” the source added.
As the UDA leadership moves to take its organisation back into the peace process, it has arrived at another crucial moment in its history.
Once again, its authority is being challenged - not by White and Adair this time but by the Shoukris, who like the men exiled from the Shankill have grown rich inside the paramilitary world.
“We have been through worse situations and come out the other end,” one leadership source remarked, expressing a confidence that the Shoukris will not win this latest battle inside the UDA.
Certainly, the numbers appear stacked against them, and as this situation develops, the Shoukris will make more and more enemies.
That is the way of the loyalist world in which they live.
The Shankill leadership of Kincaid, Jim Spence and Eric McKee will be critical in this situation.
When it made its mind up in 2003, Adair and White were finished inside the UDA, and for the Shoukris, the same outcome now appears inevitable.
But all of this is slowing down the loyalist march back in the direction of the peace process.
We know, from a recent interview for this newspaper, that another of the loyalist organisations - the UVF - will delay an announcement on its future until after the November 24 deadline for a political deal here.
And the UDA is going nowhere until the Shoukri situation is resolved.
The road back to peace is proving a difficult one to travel. At the end of it, the Shoukris will no longer be part of the paramilitary leadership.
It seems there are just two things still to be decided - how and when they will be removed.